What will the Fed decide on December 9?

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Rules

Market: KXFEDDECISION on Kalshi, event KXFEDDECISION-26DEC · contract terms

• Outcomes: Cut >25bp, Cut 25bp, Fed maintains rate, Hike 25bp, Hike >25bp. Exactly one settles Yes.
• Settles on the change in the target range announced for the Dec 9, 2026 meeting. A 50bp hike settles Hike >25bp.
• Cancelled meeting: if the scheduled meeting does not take place on its date, Fed maintains rate settles Yes, even if the Fed moves the rate at an unscheduled meeting.
• Close: 1:59 pm ET Dec 9, before the 2:00 pm statement.
• Source: the Federal Reserve, federalreserve.gov.

Last updated 2026-11-13

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